Intelligence
Calamìta
Insurance exposure, analysed event by event.
When an earthquake or a flood happens, you need to know which policies fall inside the affected area and what insured value they represent.
Real-time NatCat exposure analysis · INGV seismic data · hydrogeological and weather events · geolocated portfolio
Illustrative diagram of the impact area around the epicentre and of the geolocated policies in the portfolio.
The context
After an event, rebuilding the exposure takes time.
After an earthquake or a flood, the insurer has to estimate how many policies fall inside the affected area and what insured value is involved. If the data is scattered or not geolocated, rebuilding that picture takes time — and different departments can end up with different answers.
The first decisions come before the full picture
In the first hours you have to assess the policies involved, organise the loss adjusters and brief whoever handles reserves and communications. An exposure picture that only arrives days later makes all of that late.
Addresses without coordinates
Incomplete addresses, inconsistent formats and postcodes used as the only geographic reference make it hard to match policies to the affected area.
Departments working on different data
Risk management, claims and reinsurance can be working from different extracts and different criteria. Without a shared base, a consistent view of the exposure is hard to assemble.
Accumulations that stay hidden
Without a geographic reading of the portfolio it is hard to see in advance where exposure concentrates against the natural hazards being considered.
How it works
From the event to the policies that may be involved.
Calamìta takes in the event data, estimates the impact area and compares it with the policy coordinates. The result is a map of the potential exposure, showing the locations involved and where they concentrate.
The sequence
From the event to the exposure assessment.
The event data feeds the analysis: the affected area is estimated and compared with the geolocated portfolio. As the sources update, so does the exposure map.
Event
Event data acquired
For seismic events: magnitude, depth and coordinates. For hydrogeological ones: the warnings and the areas they cover.
Affected area
The impact area is estimated
Geospatial models estimate how far the event reaches and map the intensity bands around its origin.
Portfolio
Policies are matched against the area
Policy coordinates are compared with the estimated impact area. The result is the list of locations that may be involved, grouped by intensity band.
Assessment
What the operational decisions need
Risk management and claims read the same exposure picture: the locations involved, where they concentrate, and what is needed to set priorities.
Inside the product
One map, three ways of working.
The same information read by three departments with different needs: assessing exposure, handling claims, and watching portfolio concentration.
What the portfolio is exposed to
Shows the policies involved, the sums insured and the reserves, by intensity band, line of business and area.
- Exposure by intensity band
- Where the portfolio concentrates
- History of events and their exposures
Which locations need attention first
The policies that may be involved are ordered by event intensity and exposure value, which gives a basis for setting priorities and assigning loss adjusters.
- Locations ranked by intensity and exposure value
- Support for planning contact with the policyholders involved
- Claims received compared with locations potentially involved
Where the portfolio concentrates
Reading the portfolio geographically shows where policies concentrate, and lets that be compared with the hazard levels being considered.
- Concentration maps by area
- Scenarios based on historical or hypothetical events
- Analysis to support the conversation with reinsurance
What it brings together
Event data and portfolio, on the same map.
| Type of event | Data source | What the analysis gives |
|---|---|---|
| Earthquakes | Italian national seismic network (INGV) | Intensity bands and the policies falling inside them |
| Floods | Hydrogeological warnings and bulletins | Affected areas and the policies that may be involved |
| Hail and other weather events | Weather data and warnings | Affected areas and portfolio concentrations |
| Policy data | Policy records matched to geographic coordinates | The reference for comparing the event area with the policies |
The sources are agreed at set-up, according to the lines of business and the geographies in the portfolio.
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